Binance Optionsv0.1.0PAPER READY

BTC Near-expiry Short Straddle

Select a near-expiry BTC ATM straddle and cap Paper size with mark-IV probability, stress-loss, and fractional-Kelly diagnostics.

BTCOptionsNear expiryStraddleHigh volatilityExperimental
Export for local runtimeOnly implemented strategies produce runtime configurations
Strategy categoryOptions income
Market / timeframeBTCUSDT Options · 1d
Default riskHIGH
Current runtimeslocal
Strategy thesis

Why it might work

Premium may compensate bounded scenario losses when realized movement stays below the short-dated volatility implied by the option chain.

Key risks
  • Both upside and downside tail losses can expand quickly
  • Near-expiry gamma and liquidity can invalidate stress estimates
  • Kelly is a bounded diagnostic, not a profit guarantee
Stop / invalidation conditions
  • Kelly edge is non-positive or stress loss breaches the cap
  • Call and put legs do not share expiry and contract specifications
  • Bid, mark IV, delta, or index price is missing
Published backtest

Evidence used to compare strategies

WAITING FOR DATA
Period
Total return
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No published backtest yet

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